The actual number of divorces in a country is way more significant than the divorce rate in that country
Filed in Divorce news: A country/society’s divorce rate and the number of actual divorces within that community bear very little in common. The rate of divorce is infinitely less significant than the actual number of divorces within that country or society. A society or country or county or village can have an astronomical divorce rate, but the number of actual divorces within that group could be de minimus. Also, when compared to other similarly populated societies, the divorce rate of a particular group could either be a social crisis, or even a joke, depending on the actual number of divorces within that block.
For example, the Cayman Islands in the Caribbean has one of the highest divorce rates in the world, supposedly. But how many divorces does this country actually have? Well, with a population of about 54,000, if we assume that every single person in the Cayman Islands gets married (ha ha) then, even if their divorce rate is 50%, that will be about 27,000 divorces each year and that’s obviously nonsensical because if that many people got divorced every single year in the Cayman Islands, they would have negative population. That is to say, the population of the Cayman Islands stays pretty much constant in any given year. Most people divorce only once. So you would need 27,000 people to divorce every year to say that they have a 50% divorce rate. Or would you? Chances are, it is not computed quite so illogically. They are not going to use the entire population. Only the number of marriages and divorces. And not everyone in the Cayman Islands will get married or divorced. Let’s say that 5,000 Caymans get married each year (that’s probably an unrealistically high number of marriages for this population) and they have a divorce rate of 50%, then about 2,500 divorces would occur in the Cayman Islands. So you can see, it’s a small number of divorces but a very high rate for the size of their population. But does it mean anything? Should they be alarmed if 2,500 people got divorced in the Cayman Island each year? What’s the big deal?
Let’s take India. India is one of the most populous countries in the world. Their divorce rate is still very low, although social scientists have recently been complaining that their number of divorces within the country have almost doubled in recent years. India’s divorce rates have jumped from 1% to roughly 2%. What does this mean? Well, india has roughly 1.5 billion people. If half of those are married, that’s a lot of marriages. Now, if 1% or even 2% get divorced every year, that is how many divorces we are talking about? Hundreds of millions. That’s a lot of divorces.
So which country would have a more significant problem or crisis? A place like the Cayman Island with 50% divorce rate? Or a place like India with 2% divorce rate?
Let me put this another way. Let’s say you have a country like the Cayman Islands with a 50% annual rate of infection for a particular deadly, highly infectious disease. So you are looking at about 27,000 people getting infected each year at a maximum. Now, compar e that to a country like India where 2% of the population gets infected with the same exact infectious and highly contagious, deadly disease. You are looking at roughly 10,000,000 new cases each year.
Which is a more significant local threat? Which is a more significant global threat? I would argue the place with the highest number of infected people is a way bigger threat than the place with the higher rate of infection. And I don’t think it needs a rocket scientist to figure that out. What do you think (and are you a rocket scientist?)